The Coming Nuclear Attack on the US – III

February 21, 2010

Al Qaeda wants to get its hands on Pakistan’s nuclear weapons.

(Note that my reference to al Qaeda is somewhat generic, in the same way we refer to organized crime as ‘the Mafia.’ Whether the perpetrator is al Qaeda or some parallel or spinoff gang really doesn’t matter. If al Qaeda isn’t the ultimate perpetrator it will be something that looks just like it.)

As I pointed out yesterday, the biggest problem anyone faces in building a nuke is acquiring enough weapons-grade nuclear fuel to build a bomb. Building the bomb itself is relatively easy. Yes, you can do it in a cave.

When it comes to building a nuclear weapon, the only real advantage a technologically-advanced society has (outside of fuel production itself) is in higher destruction per unit of fuel and, probably, a physically lighter and smaller device.

Rolf Mowatt-Larssen, a former CIA official, has detailed al Qaeda’s 20-year quest to acquire nuclear fuel. al Qaeda are infinitely patient, believing in the aphorism, “the Americans have the watches but we have the time.”

When asked why al Qaeda has apparently done little visible mayhem in the United States most government experts will cite our heightened law enforcement and surveillance techniques.

The real reason is that al Qaeda has not yet been able to come up with something more devastating, more horrifying, than the 9/11 attacks. 9/11 is a tough act to follow. Bringing down 2 100-story buildings and killing 3000 isn’t easy to repeat. Airliner hijacking is pretty much out. That was a trick that worked once, but won’t work again. (Well, not even once, really. Don’t forget that the last of the four hijacked planes failed in its mission when the passengers discovered, via cell phone, what had happened to the other three planes. The passengers managed to cause enough chaos on United Flight 93 so that it crashed into a field in Pennsylvania, rather than its likely target, the Capitol or the White House).

al Qaeda is known to have experimented with a variety of WMDs (Weapons of Mass Destruction) including chemical and biological agents. There is credible evidence that they learned what Western nations have known all along—managing chemical and biological weapons on a large scale is difficult at best. If you want guaranteed results, the only WMD worth considering is a nuke.

And, for a nuke you need weapons-grade fuel. And, what’s the best source of weapons-grade fuel? Why right next door to Afghanistan—in Pakistan. That’s the reason there’s so much commotion along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border right now. All the Islamic radicals can smell the prize that awaits them in a destabilized Pakistan: weapons-grade nuclear fuel.

Once you’ve got the fuel, building the bomb is easy; smuggling it in to the United States is only slightly more difficult.

Once the bomb is in the United States, what will they do with it? It depends on the quality of the weapon.

According to the New York Times, “al Qaeda seems focused on the nuclear option. Its stated goal is to kill four million Americans.” If they can acquire or build a state-of-the-art nuke, their best chance for this kind of kill would be to detonate the device in the middle of Manhattan—about the only place in the US where the population is sufficiently concentrated so that a single nuke can achieve this kind of result.

But, if they are unable to build a bomb that has a reasonable prospect of this kind of death toll, their best alternative is Washington. Because of its much lower population density, 4 million deaths are unlikely but the destruction of virtually every physical symbol of the American government would be assured. A smaller-than-Hiroshima device would take out every memorable building and monument in the capitol.

Neither of the above scenarios would likely destroy our country or our government but either would likely light the fuse to World War III.

I make no guesses as to what WWIII might look like.


A Disturbing Pattern

December 16, 2009

Dec 16 – At Least 25 Killed in Pakistan Market Blast

Dec 15 – Eight Dead in Kabul Suicide Bombing

Dec 15 – Series of Bomb Blasts Leaves 8 Dead In Iraq

Dec 15 – Two Blasts Kill 13 Afghans, Wound Over 40 Others

Dec 15 – Bombs Besiege Manipur; 3 Dead

Dec 15 – Pakistan Market Bombing Leaves 20 Dead

Dec 15 – Bombs Kill Four NATO Soldiers in Afghanistan

Dec 15 – Roadside Bomb Kills 5 Afghan Policemen

Dec 15 – Somali Police Officers Killed By Bomb

Dec 14 – One Dead in Manila Car Blast

Dec 11 – Bomb Blast Kills At Least 6 South of Baghdad

Dec 8  –  Pakistan Militants Bomb Multan, 100 Dead In Five Days

Dec 8  – 127 Dead after Four Bomb Blasts Rock Baghdad

Dec 8  – Death Toll from Blasts In Pakistan’s Lahore Up To 49

Dec 8  – Nine Dead As Attack Targets Pakistan Spy Agency

Dec 8 – Three Iraqis Killed By Powerful Motorcycle Bomb

Dec 8 – At Least 49 Dead in Pakistan Market Bombs

Dec 7 – 10 Turkish Soldiers Killed by Remote-Controlled Bomb

Dec 5 – 1 Dead In Bombing near Philippine Police Station

Dec 4 – Suicide Bomb Kills 5 in Hussein’s Hometown

Dec 3 – Suicide Bomber Hits Somali Graduation, 22 Dead

Hope and Change Update

November 14, 2009


Some of you may remember the winning presidential candidate’s two abiding slogans in his 2008 campaign: Hope and Change.

From time to time, we’ll try to update the scorecard on his successes.

duckEnvironment – According to The New York Times President Obama and other world leaders are NOT going to reach any binding agreements on climate issues such as CO2 emissions and global warming. Instead, they have agreed that next month’s Copenhagen conference would reach less specific agreements that would not be politically binding. They will shelve the most difficult issues indefinitely.
Tree huggers, you’ve been sold out. No Change this year. Hope is postponed.

healthcarecantwaitMedical Care – Congress is still a long way from passing Obamacare and, even if it does, they haven’t yet decided who will get screwed and how much. BUT, the Obama gang already have decided that, Obamacare or not, it will cut payments to Medicare Advantage by as much as 4.5% next year. And, according to The Wall Street Journal:

The average premium seniors pay for stand-alone drug plans will rise 11% to $38.94 a month in 2010… About 1.2 million Medicare beneficiaries would pay at least $10 more in monthly premiums if they remain in their current plan.

Seniors, you’ve been sold out. The Change, higher premiums, is already on the way. Hope that costs don’t go up even more under Obamacare.

Afghanistan Barry, this is now your war, not Bush’s, and things aren’t going all that well. Under your leadership, troop levels in Afghanistan have nearly doubled and combat deaths have more than doubled. And you’re thinking about upping the ante?

wounded Change is for the worse and, based on your indecisiveness over the past ten months, there’s no Hope that things will get better.

Pakistan – Hell, you gave them 8 billion and they bitched at you for meddling in their affairs.
Pakistan always has been a time bomb. The Change is that you’ve started the clock. We can’t Hope this is just another IED. The Pakistanis know their shit when it comes to building weapons.

yemenYemen – Things are going to hell in a hurry in Yemen and it’s not long before you’re going to be caught between Yemen’s branch of al-Qaeda and our good friends the Saudis. This is another one of those Sunni–Shi’ite things and it’s only a matter of time until the Saudis invade Yemen (with weapons we supplied). Got any plans?
The Change is for the worse on the Arabian peninsula. We only Hope you can find Yemen on a map.

(Un)employment – Well, at least you’ve got a job.
Conclusion – The rest of us can only Hope things Change.

guantanamoGuantanamo – Obama promised to close Guantanamo in a year. Last we knew there were still at least 200 prisoners there and no one has any idea what to do with them. Well, at least not with most of them. Some genius in the Obama administration figured it would be a good idea to transfer a few of the Gitmo boys to New York for trial. Why? So the streets of New York can be clogged with barricades, troops carrying automatic weapons, and snipers on every rooftop. Shouldn’t disrupt day-to-day life in Manhattan too much.
Conclusion – The Change is for the worse. We can only Hope the presence of these al Qaeda fiends in New York doesn’t result in more bloodshed.

(Readers please note: This is a running scorecard on the Obama promise for Hope and Change. This is not a Republican polemic. With the possible exception of health care, I am confident that McCain and the Republicans would have screwed things up at least as badly as Obama. We’ll have more to say later about the abysmal choices of governance we’re being offered).

Eight U.S. Soldiers Killed in Afghanistan

October 28, 2009
dead soldiers caskets on plane

Rest in Peace

The title for this article happens to be taken from Monday morning’s news (Tuesday’s American dead numbered 14) but, other than the dates, the headlines could have been written a week ago, a month ago or (take a deep breath) eight years ago. Yes, we’ve been in Afghanistan for eight years and for what?

President Bush asked this same question shortly before he left office and commissioned a “top-to-bottom strategic review” of Afghanistan. The results of this “strategic review” were never made public. Mr. Bush handed them over to Mr. Obama who also has chosen not to make them public.

It’s a safe bet the “strategic review” offered no cause for optimism; otherwise Messrs Bush and Obama would have held press conferences in which Obama might even have entertained a question or two from Fox News.

As a public service, we present below a synopsis of the “strategic review.” While we have no inside sources, we’ll bet the questions and conclusions make at least as much sense as the “strategic review” seen by two presidents.


What the Fuck Are We Doing Here?

Mr. President, as you can see from the title of this review, we attempted to capture its essence in a few succinct words. So that you will not look totally stupid in front of the press, we offer some talking points backed up with relevant data:


World Trade Center

Revenge – After the 9/11 attacks, we all agreed that we had to get even with somebody. Never mind that all of the people directly responsible were dead; and, never mind that most of them held Saudi Arabian passports—we needed to go after someone who didn’t have a lot of friends, too much oil, or any California real estate. What we needed was a high body count and Afghanistan seemed to fit the bill. We lost about 3000 people on 9/11. We’ve lost nearly another 1000 soldiers (along with a few reporters and aid workers) in Afghanistan since then. So we’re out, say, 4000 total. We’ve managed to kill some al Qaeda and Taliban types and we’ve greased a shitload of civilians. Looks like we’ve knocked off maybe 30,000 towelheads, burqa babes, and kids This is a kill ratio of about 7 to 1. Not as good as Viet Nam, mind you, where 10 to 1 was the gold standard, but not bad all the same.


Osama bin Laden

bin Laden – You’d think 6’6” guy with a beard would stick out just about anywhere but an NBA game but we haven’t been able to find him. Hell, we found the ONLY cow in the US with Mad Cow Disease and we can’t find this guy? And what if we do? With the new torture rules, we can’t even make him listen to Neil Diamond. Look, leave him alone. Yeah, he’s an asshole and deserves to have his neck stretched but most of the world’s scoundrels have avoided any real justice. Pol Pot, Stalin, Mao, and Idi Amin all managed to die relatively peaceful deaths. Killing bin Laden just elevates him to martyrdom. If the rumors are true, he may be dead already of kidney disease. If he’s alive, there’s a $25 million price tag on his head. Do you suppose he sleeps comfortably in his mountain hideaway knowing that all it’s going to take is one guy who decides that $25 million guaranteed today is a better deal than the nebulous promise of 72 virgins at some time in the future. Given today’s markets, you can buy 72 virgins for a hell of a lot less than $25 million and still have plenty left over for the caviar, Cristal, and KY jelly.


al Qaeda Area of Operations

al Qaeda Base of Operations This is one of my favorites: ‘We’ve GOT to subjugate Afghanistan; after all, it’s al Qaeda’s base of operations.’ Forty years ago we spent years scouring South Viet Nam for a mythical hideaway called COSVN, the Central Office for South Viet Nam. This was supposed to be the Viet Cong’s equivalent of the Pentagon, the central nervous system of a vast military organism that stretched across southeast Asia. We were too stupid to imagine that any worthy enemy could stand up against us without centralized command and control, sophisticated intelligence gathering and analysis, and a staff of general officers duly graduated from some reputable military academy. We were wrong about COSVN and we’re wrong about al Qaeda. Sure, al Qaeda exists but, if it gets too hot for them in Afghanistan, they’ll just move somewhere else like, say, Pakistan! Hey, they’ve done that already! And Pakistan is falling apart just like Laos and Cambodia did.

What does a Base of Operations take these days? Not much. A good internet connection, a couple thousand acres of terrain for practice and training and a few well-concealed buildings. Don’t forget, most of the 9/11 terrorists did the bulk of their training in the United States while staying at the La Quinta.

Expansion to Pakistan – This morning, while Hillary geared up for a speech in Peshawar, a car bomb killed about 90 civilians and injured over 200. I’d say al Qaeda and the Taliban have already arrived. Contrary to the catty rumors going around in the States, Hillary is not putting on weight; that’s body armour under those pants suits.

Pakistan is a both a joke and a nightmare—a corrupt government, surrounded by Islamic fundamentalists, and at least 100 high-quality nuclear weapons. It’s just a matter of time until one of these human time bombs (an Islamic fundamentalist) gets his hands on one of these nuclear bombs (a plutonium implosion number laced with tritium) and sets it off. Are you ready to invade Pakistan (along with Iran and Israel) to prevent the detonation of a nuclear weapon in the Middle East? If not, then you’d better get the hell out because it’s just a matter of time.

And don’t forget, on September 16 Obama gave these assholes another $7.5 billion to stem the influence of al Qaeda and the Taliban in Pakistan. They took the $7.5 billion and then immediately complained that the money was an attempt to micro-manage Pakistan’s civilian and military affairs.

Sanctuary – Another great joke. ‘Afghanistan provides sanctuary to terrorists bent on doing us harm,’ is something we hear almost every week from some Sunday morning talking head. Christ, these al Qaeda and Taliban guys are hiding in Detroit and St. Louis; they don’t need Afghanistan as a sanctuary. We understand that a couple of these terrorists are pretty pissed. Someone back in Kandahar told them NFL season tickets were like “money in the bank.” Apparently, they invested heavily in Rams and Lions sky boxes.

Bizarre BazaarWinning ‘Hearts and Minds’ – We tried this one in Viet Nam and it didn’t work. It won’t work in Afghanistan or Pakistan, either. Why? It’s not that they don’t like us; hell we’ve got money, cigarettes, good-quality porn, and we’re basically nice guys until you start shooting at us. What’s not to like about us Foreign Devils? For civilians in these countries, the question is not who’s won their ‘hearts and minds.’ The question is who’s in town this week with the guns? Who owns the night; who speaks your language; who knows where you work; who knows where your kids go to school (if they go); who knows the rest of your family; who knows where your sheep or your poppies are? If you piss them off, who’s going to chase you to the end of the earth, just for the pleasure of cutting off your dick? Some American? Hell, no. He’s headed home in 164 days (and counting) and he’s already decided that next time he comes back to this god-forsaken shithole it will be after the women and children.

burqa-clad-muslim-women_246Burqas – OK, OK. This was one of the really great things to come out of this whole Middle East festouche. Burqas. Remember back in the months following 9/11? Everyone was circulating Internet pictures of burqa-clad women. They were great. No one could believe that there were still places in the world where people (men) took this shit seriously. But there are. And the sooner we get out, the sooner the burqas will be back. They’re even doing burqa fashion shows now.

Opium – In 2007, 93% of all the world’s opiates came from Afghanistan. If we leave, there might be a heroin shortage for a while as the Taliban, who would retake Afghanistan, considers opium “un-Islamic.” But not to worry. If the Taliban really stops opium production in Afghanistan (they won’t, when they find out how much money there is in it), someone else will pick up the slack. According to the US Army War College, “[w]ith a farm gate price of approximately $125 per kilogram for dry opium, an Afghan farmer can make 17 times more profit growing opium poppy ($4,622 per hectare), than by growing wheat ($266 per hectare). Opium poppy is also drought resistant, easy to transport and store, and, unlike many crops, requires no refrigeration and does not spoil.” And, processing opium is very labor intensive, giving all those burqa-clad housewives and little kids something to do.

Birth Rates – Afghanistan has the 4th highest birth rate of any country in the world. I won’t bore you with the math except to make this point: If the Taliban manages to recruit 1% of the the male population each year, we’ll have to kill 10,000 Afghanis just to stay even. Got the stomach for this? And remember, at present kill ratios, that’s another 1500 American lives flushed down the cosmic toilet annually.

Oil – At last we get to the real reason we’re in the Afghanistanoil. Everyone knows that Halliburton and all the rest of George Bush’s buddies wanted to get in to Afghanistan so they could get their hands on all that oil. That, of course, is the whole reason we’re in the Middle East, right? Well, sorry to disappoint you, but there’s not a drop of oil in Afghanistan. Not one. If anyone tries to sell you stock in AfghaniPetro, take a pass.

It’s Time to Declare Victory and Go Home

October 20, 2009

“The obstacle we face is America.” So said a mullah at a demonstration in Peshawar this past summer. Things would be fine, he says, if the Americans would just go away.

He’s probably wrong, but so what. Let’s take him at his word. It’s time for America to declare victory and go home. Let’s pull our money and, far more important, our young men and women out of Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and any other place where we’re apparently not welcome.

What will happen? On the up side, we’ll save American lives and a ton of money. Downside? A lot of people are going to die. But they seem bent on killing each other whether we’re there or not. We’re just getting in the way.

Let the beheadings, rapes, infanticide, torture, kidnappings, thievery, butchery, bribery, corruption, killings, and general mayhem begin. It’s time for the Great Satan to head home, crack open a beer, tilt back in the Barcalounger, and watch the slaughter on CNN.


VJ Day - August 11, 1945 - America's Last Military Victory